I’ve written about the enthusiasm gap between the Democrats and Republicans earlier this year.
READING THE TEA LEAVES: Hillary’s in for rough sledding, as are all Democrats in November
In short, Republicans are energized and excited. Democrats seem bored and uninspired by the Hillary vs. Bernie match-up. If things don’t change dramatically, Democrats are in for a bloodbath this November.
Democrats saw 20% fewer primary voters this season than turned out for them in 2008 – 7 million fewer Democrats came out to vote in this year’s primary compared to 2008.
Republicans, on the other hand, saw over 38% more participation this year, compared to 2008. Republican turnout in 2016 was up 57+% from 2012 – about ten million more votes, a year when pundits like Romney’s Campaign Mgr. Stuart Stevens told everyone who would listen that Republicans were “exceptionally motivated”. If conservatives were “exceptionally motivated in 2012, then what would that make them today?
Hillary “won” her nomination with 1.6m fewer votes than in 2008 when she lost decisively to Barack Obama. Donald Trump garnered more votes than any Republican nominee in history.
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