Sundance at The Conservative Treehouse advises heightened situational awareness on Tuesday, October 6, and Wednesday, October 7, 2026, especially for travelers. He argues the recent RAF Fairford base incident was likely a rehearsal timed to France’s “National Day of Action” and the October 7 anniversary of the Hamas attack on Israel.
He frames the risk through a “Red-Green Alliance” of far-left activists and Islamist networks, chiefly the Muslim Brotherhood, which he says exploits anniversary dates and historic grievances. Citing unrest in France and the U.K., imported extremism in Europe, and Qatar’s role in funding, he warns the next 48 hours could bring an attack. If something looks wrong, secure yourself first, then alert authorities; in the U.K. or France, he suggests staying inside.
From The Conservative Treehouse:
It’s likely nothing unless you travel a lot. However, it would be prudent to maintain heightened situational awareness on Tuesday (6th) and Wednesday (7th).
There is a better than average likelihood the RAF Fairford base attack was going to coincide on Oct 6 or 7 with what the French provocateurs are calling a “National Day of Action.” The U.K terrorist network was simply caught in the rehearsal phase.
October 7th is the anniversary of the Hamas attack on Israel.
The “Red‑Green Alliance” refers to a tactical partnership between far‑left movements (“red”) and Islamist movements (“green”), rooted in shared opposition to Western institutions, capitalism, the U.S., and Israel, rather than shared values.
It is not a single organization, but rather a recurring pattern historically, especially during the 1979 Iranian Revolution, and in modern Western activism and politics. The western media support the RED side, and the Muslim Brotherhood represents the GREEN side.
Islamists love to celebrate anniversaries and random dates they assign to historic grievances. The Brotherhood exploits the radical elements’ general lack of intelligence and simultaneously stimulates the autonomic emotional nerve. Spend any amount of time talking to a Turk, and they can cite multiple grievances with dates. For multiple years Turkey has been in a co-dependent relationship with the Muslim Brotherhood (AQAP, al-Qaeda, al-Nusra, ISIS, etc.).
Turkish President Erdogan, a NATO member, manages the Brotherhood sensibility better than most. Jordan’s King Abdullah also does it well; while Egypt’s President Fattah al-Sisi gave up trying and just banned them outright.
Qatar is the banking agency for the Muslim Brotherhood. Oman and Yemen have severe factions as noted in the FlyDubai airline incident and the Houthis respectively. In Africa, AQIM, another Brotherhood chapter, carries the banner for the greater Palestinian cause, the primary grievance for 2026.
In France the Palestinian flag is being waved in each of the migrant uprisings and riots. While in the U.K the hatred for Israel is a sentiment second only to the support for the Palestinians.
Europe has imported millions of radical extremists. The background for the RAF Fairford terrorist event did not happen overnight; the sentiment has been building. However, that said, Obama/Biden imported mass numbers of Muslim Brotherhood sympathizers, so it would be well worth paying attention as the next 48 hours of anniversary celebration may indeed result in some form of Islamic terrorist attack.
Keep this context and perspective with you over the next few days.